The Best Supporting Actor category has historically recognized performances that play a significant narrative or thematic role, often in ensemble-driven or critically acclaimed films.
The Academy Awards (Oscars) are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) and are traditionally held in Los Angeles, California, most often at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood.
The 2026 Academy Awards (98th Academy Awards) are expected to take place in early March 2026, honoring films released during the 2025 calendar year. Eligibility, nominations, and voting follow Academy-established rules and timelines.
The Best Supporting Actor category has historically recognized performances that play a significant narrative or thematic role, often in ensemble-driven or critically acclaimed films.
The last five Best Supporting Actor winners are:
These performances span a range of genres, from large-scale studio productions to independent and ensemble-focused films.
Official nominees for Best Supporting Actor in 2026 have not yet been announced. Current prediction markets reflect expectations based on announced projects, prior awards history, and anticipated release schedules.
The probabilities below represent implied chances derived from current market pricing.
Predict on Crypto.com:Oscars: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Actor | Chance to Win |
Stellan Skarsgård | 51% |
Sean Penn | 32% |
Jacob Elordi | 12% |
Paul Mescal | 4% |
Andrew Garfield | 1% |
Sean Bean | 1% |
Jeremy Strong | 1% |
Jonathan Bailey | 1% |
Delroy Lindo | 1% |
Adam Sandler | 1% |
Peter Dinklage | 1% |
Miles Caton | 1% |
Diego Luna | 1% |
Jack O’Connell | 1% |
Akira Emoto | 1% |
The films listed below are projects currently associated with each actor that could plausibly factor into awards consideration for the 2026 ceremony. Inclusion does not imply nomination, eligibility, or Academy recognition.
Final eligibility depends on release dates, qualifying theatrical runs, campaign positioning, and Academy rules.
Prediction markets aggregate participant expectations into implied probabilities, which adjust as new information becomes available. In the Best Supporting Actor category, market movement often corresponds with:
Market prices reflect current expectations, not confirmed outcomes or official Academy positions.
This market resolves based on the official Academy Award winner for Best Supporting Actor, as announced during the Oscar ceremony. In the event of delays, disputes, or rule clarifications, resolution follows the Academy’s final published outcome.
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