Predicting 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee: An Informational Overview

The 2028 U.S. presidential race is still years away, and it remains too early to identify who the Democratic Party’s nominee will be. However, Crypto.com Predict markets provide probabilistic signals based on participant activity. Below is a factual, neutral look at several public figures currently tracked on the platform, along with their political backgrounds and notable accomplishments — without suggesting or predicting any outcome.

Current Market-Implied Chances (Crypto.com Predict, Dec. 3)

• Gavin Newsom — 36%
• Pete Buttigieg — 5%
• Kamala Harris — 5%
• Josh Shapiro — 5%
• Andy Beshear — 3%
• JB Pritzker — 3%

Percentages reflect activity on Predict as of Dec. 3 and may change over time. Check for the latest percentages for the 2026 Democratic Presidential Nominee.

Gavin Newsom has a 36% to become Democratic Nominee

Gavin Newsom has served as the Governor of California since Jan. 7, 2019, following election in 2018 and re-election in 2022. As governor, he has signed statewide budget acts covering education, transportation, housing, climate programs, and healthcare appropriations. His administration has issued executive orders across areas including wildfire response, drought management, clean-energy deployment, and emergency declarations. Newsom directed the state’s public-health response during the COVID-19 pandemic, including stay-at-home orders and phased reopening protocols.

Prior to his current office, Newsom served as Lieutenant Governor of California (2011–2019). In this role, he participated in state economic development initiatives, chaired the California Commission for Economic Development, and sat on the University of California Board of Regents and the California State University Board of Trustees.

Newsom previously served as Mayor of San Francisco (2004–2011), where he oversaw municipal operations, budget management, and local legislative actions. He earlier served on the San Francisco Board of Supervisors (1997–2004).

His two decades of public office include signings or oversight of major statewide measures such as the 2020 California budget restructuring, renewable-energy expansion laws, and housing-production initiatives. This section includes only documented offices and official actions.

Pete Buttigieg has a 5% to become Democratic Nominee

Pete Buttigieg has served as the U.S. Secretary of Transportation since Feb. 3, 2021. In this role, he oversees the Department of Transportation (DOT), which manages federal aviation, highway, rail, maritime, and transit programs. He is responsible for implementation of components of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (2021) related to transportation grants, bridge programs, port modernization, and rail-investment allocation. Buttigieg has participated in federal rulemaking processes, safety directives, and infrastructure-project evaluations conducted through the DOT.

Before entering the Cabinet, Buttigieg served as the Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020). As mayor, he oversaw municipal operations, budgeting, and local infrastructure programs. His administration completed city redevelopment projects, sewer and water-system upgrades, and economic-use planning initiatives. He was re-elected in 2015 and concluded his tenure with the end of his second term.

Buttigieg is also a veteran of the U.S. Navy Reserve (2009–2017), during which he deployed to Afghanistan in 2014 as an intelligence officer.

He was a candidate in the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries, where he filed for multiple state ballots and participated in nationally televised debates. All details included here reflect verifiable career milestones and actions.

Kamala Harris has a 5% to become Democratic Nominee

Kamala Harris has served as a U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021) and as Vice President of the United States (2021–2025). As vice president, she presided over the U.S. Senate, casting tie-breaking votes on multiple federal legislative actions, including budget resolutions and judicial nominations. She conducted diplomatic travel, represented the United States in bilateral meetings, and oversaw assigned domestic-policy areas as delegated by the executive branch.

Before the vice presidency, Harris served as Attorney General of California (2011–2017). In that capacity, she supervised statewide law-enforcement operations, oversaw the California Department of Justice, and implemented the California Homeowner Bill of Rights (2013). She also led investigations and enforcement actions in areas including consumer protection and environmental compliance.

Earlier, she served as District Attorney of San Francisco (2004–2011), overseeing prosecutions and municipal legal administration.

During her Senate tenure, Harris served on the Senate Judiciary Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Budget Committee, participating in legislative hearings, federal-nomination evaluations, and oversight proceedings.

Josh Shapiro has a 5% to become Democratic Nominee

Josh Shapiro has served as the Governor of Pennsylvania since Jan. 17, 2023. As governor, he has signed state budget legislation for the 2023–2024 fiscal cycle, focusing on appropriations involving education, infrastructure, and workforce programs. His administration has issued executive orders on workforce initiatives, licensing reform, disaster response, and transportation-system evaluations. Shapiro has overseen statewide emergency responses to weather-related incidents and infrastructure disruptions.

Previously, Shapiro served as Attorney General of Pennsylvania (2017–2023). In this role, he supervised the Office of Attorney General, oversaw statewide criminal-justice operations, and led the widely cited 2018 Grand Jury Report on clergy abuse, which examined abuse cases across Pennsylvania dioceses. His office also conducted consumer-protection investigations and statewide public-corruption prosecutions.

Shapiro earlier served as a Montgomery County Commissioner (2012–2017) and as a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2005–2012). As commissioner, he chaired the Board of Commissioners and managed county budgets, public-health operations, and administrative programs.

Andy Beshear has a 3% to become Democratic Nominee

Andy Beshear has served as the Governor of Kentucky since Dec. 10, 2019, and was re-elected in 2023. As governor, he has signed statewide budget acts covering education, public-employee compensation, infrastructure, and healthcare funding. His administration has coordinated emergency responses to major disasters, including the December 2021 tornado outbreak, 2022 Eastern Kentucky flooding, and subsequent recovery initiatives. He has issued executive orders relating to emergency management, economic development, and public-health operations.

Before serving as governor, Beshear held office as the Attorney General of Kentucky (2016–2019). In this role, he supervised the Kentucky Office of the Attorney General, conducted investigations involving consumer protection, and initiated legal actions regarding pension law and state-government operations.

Earlier, Beshear worked in private legal practice before entering statewide office.

JB Pritzker has a 3% to become Democratic Nominee

JB Pritzker has served as the Governor of Illinois since Jan. 14, 2019, and was re-elected in 2022. As governor, he has signed several major pieces of state legislation, including the Illinois Rebuild Act (2019), a multi-year statewide capital-infrastructure package directing investment toward transportation, education facilities, and state buildings. Pritzker also signed the Climate and Equitable Jobs Act (2021), which established statewide clean-energy targets and investment frameworks.

His administration has signed budget acts for multiple fiscal years, covering appropriations in education, healthcare, pensions, infrastructure, and state operations. Pritzker has issued executive orders on pandemic management, childcare funding, workforce initiatives, and state-agency restructuring. He directed Illinois’ pandemic response beginning in 2020, including statewide mitigation measures and vaccination-program implementation.

Before his governorship, Pritzker was involved in business and philanthropy and served in appointed roles such as chairing the Illinois Human Rights Commission (1998–2001). He has also been involved in economic-development initiatives in the state through various private and public-sector programs.

Important Information

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Predictions markets are volatile and carry risk. Please consult a financial adviser before making investment decisions. It is essential to do research and due diligence to make the best possible judgment, as any purchases shall be your sole responsibility.

Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-regulated exchange. Trading on CDNA involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on CDNA is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.

Economic and market forecasts are subject to change without notice. Figures and projections in this article are based on available data as of October 2025, with partial extrapolation during the government shutdown. Actual Bureau of Labor Statistics releases may differ materially once regular publication resumes.

References

Gavin Newsom Fact Checking

Governor of California (2019–present)

• Office of the Governor: https://www.gov.ca.gov
• Executive Orders archive: https://www.gov.ca.gov/category/executive-order 
• 2020–2024 California Budgets: https://ebudget.ca.gov

Lieutenant Governor of California (2011–2019)

• Official LG archive: https://ltg.ca.gov

Mayor of San Francisco (2004–2011)

• City & County of San Francisco Mayor’s Office: https://sfmayor.org
  

Pete Buttigieg Fact Checking

U.S. Secretary of Transportation (2021–present)

• U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT): https://www.transportation.gov
• DOT leadership page: https://www.transportation.gov/administrations/office-secretary/secretarys-leadership 
• IIJA program portal: https://www.transportation.gov/infrastructure
  

Mayor of South Bend (2012–2020)

• City of South Bend (Mayor’s Office): https://southbendin.gov

U.S. Navy Reserve service

• Documentation appears in official DOT biography:
  https://www.transportation.gov/briefing-room/pete-buttigieg-biography

Kamala Harris Fact Checking

Vice President of the United States (2021–2025)

• White House (archived): https://www.whitehouse.gov/admin/vp-harris 

U.S. Senator from California (2017–2021)

• U.S. Senate biography: https://www.harris.senate.gov 

Attorney General of California (2011–2017)

• California DOJ archive: https://oag.ca.gov
• Homeowner Bill of Rights (signed 2013): https://oag.ca.gov/hbor

District Attorney of San Francisco (2004–2011)

• SF District Attorney’s Office: https://www.sfdistrictattorney.org
  

Josh Shapiro Fact Checking

Governor of Pennsylvania (2023–present)

• Governor’s Office: https://www.governor.pa.gov
  Executive Orders: https://www.governor.pa.gov/executive-orders 

Attorney General of Pennsylvania (2017–2023)

• PA Office of Attorney General: https://www.attorneygeneral.gov
• 2018 Grand Jury Report: https://www.attorneygeneral.gov/report

Montgomery County Commissioner (2012–2017)

• Montgomery County Government: https://montcopa.org

Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2005–2012)

• PA General Assembly: https://www.legis.state.pa.us

Andy Beshear

Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)

• Governor’s Office: https://governor.ky.gov
• Executive Orders: https://governor.ky.gov/Pages/executive-orders.aspx 
• Disaster response archives:
• • 2021 tornadoes: https://governor.ky.gov/tornado 
  • 2022 floods: https://governor.ky.gov/flooding 

Attorney General of Kentucky (2016–2019)

• Kentucky OAG: https://ag.ky.gov 

JB Pritzker

Governor of Illinois (2019–present)

• Governor’s Office: https://www.illinois.gov/government/executive-branch/governor.html 
• Rebuild Illinois Act (2019): https://www2.illinois.gov/capitalprogram 
• Climate and Equitable Jobs Act (2021): https://www2.illinois.gov/sites/ipa/Pages/CEJA.aspx 
• State budget archives: https://budget.illinois.gov

Chair, Illinois Human Rights Commission (1998–2001)

• Illinois HRC: https://www2.illinois.gov/sites/ihrc