XRP price outlook: Can XRP still break $3 after crypto market liquidation and on ETF hopes?

What happened over the weekend: Tariff triggered market rout

The crypto market recorded one of the largest single-day liquidation events over last weekend, after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a possible 100% tariff on China, sparking fears of a renewed trade war. 

That news triggered broad risk-off sentiment, pushing down BTC, ETH, and alts, including XRP. 

Markets reversed direction Monday as calmer language emerged and risk assets stabilized. However, a market dip took over again when China hit back with sanctions on U.S. units of a South Korean shipping company.

The tariff shock set the tone and traders are watching whether the bounce holds.

For XRP, the rebound was notable but not outsized. After sliding to around $2.20, XRP recovered roughly 12% to 14%, outperforming Bitcoin’s 5% and Ethereum’s 8% rebounds over the V-shape recovery period. The recovery shows some appetite among the bulls, especially with the ETF narrative gaining momentum, but still falls short of the sharper double-digit gains seen in faster-moving altcoins like Solana and Avalanche.

XRP price levels to watch: Resistance and support zones

XRP remains in a consolidation phase following the weekend rebound, with traders watching whether the market can build enough strength for a breakout.

Resistance

• $2.60 to $2.65: This is the immediate ceiling where XRP has faced repeated pushback. A sustained move above this range could turn the tides.
• $2.75 to $2.85: The next resistance band aligns with prior swing highs. Clearing this zone would strengthen the case for a retest of the upper range, potentially above the $3 mark if broader market conditions remain supportive.

Support

• $2.35 to $2.40: This zone has held as short-term support and remains an area where buyers have historically stepped in to stabilize price action.
• $2.20 to $2.25: A deeper support region that has previously served as a launchpad for rebounds. A breakdown below this level could invite further downside pressure toward the $2 mark.

These levels define XRP’s near-term trading range. A decisive breakout or breakdown beyond these zones may set the tone for the next directional move, especially with macro and regulatory catalysts still in play.

ETF catalyst: How XRP fits into the institutional narrative

XRP is increasingly seen as a leading contender for spot ETF approval in the U.S. Six spot XRP ETFs are currently awaiting SEC decisions, many with deadlines in October 2025, though the ongoing U.S. government shutdown may result in further delay.

The SEC’s adoption of generic listing standards this year also lowers procedural hurdles for crypto ETFs, aiding XRP's case. Since then, asset managers have withdrawn old filings in favor of Form S-1 amendments.

If a spot XRP ETF is approved, there may be a flood of institutional capital which would create a bullish structural backdrop, although the extent of it as compared to BTC or ETH remains to be seen.

Macro and sentiment risk: How external shocks can sway XRP

Even if fundamentals are supportive, XRP isn’t immune to macro headwinds. The weekend’s tariff threat showed how quickly sentiment can pivot.

• Trade war headlines still lurk. Any escalation could pull crypto lower again.
• A sluggish U.S. equity session may harm risk-on assets, including alts.
• Emerging global developments (e.g., China’s response, U.S. government shutdown, supply chain impacts) could indirectly pressure crypto flows.
  

Outlook: Three scenarios to watch

If you’re interested in the latest price movements of XRP, you can stay up to date on the Crypto.com price page or the App, which supports more than 400 cryptocurrencies including Solana. Users on the App can purchase XRP is a few simple steps:

1. Download the Crypto.com App, available on the Apple App Store and Google Play. 
2. Follow the on-screen instructions to complete the sign-up and identity verification process. 
3. Fund the account via bank transfer (this may take one to three days to clear) or through instant methods like prepaid/credit card or Apple Pay. The Crypto.com App supports more than 20 fiat currencies, including USD, EUR, and GBP.
4. Once the account is funded, users can purchase XRP and other cryptocurrencies directly through the App.

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