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Key Takeaways

AI Sector Market Overview

The year 2024 is welcomed with fresh developments and new milestones in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, which has contributed to the resurging optimism in the space. A few key events are fuelling the booming AI sector: OpenAI unveiled its novel text-to-video AI model Sora, an AI-powered content generator that can produce high-quality and dynamic video content with just simple text prompts, and OpenAI founder Sam Altman’s Worldcoin token (WLD) recorded double-digit gains during the reporting period; Mistral AI entered into a partnership with Microsoft, following the launch of its proprietary large language model (LLM) Mistral Large, which is considered to closely compete with GPT-4 and other LLMs. Additionally, the latest NVIDIA earnings report beat Wall Street’s earnings forecast and has surpassed Amazon and Alphabet in market capitalisation.

Following these AI developments, the AI token space has also been rallying. The market capitalisation of AI-related tokens surpassed US$10 billion and surged by 74% year-to-date. Leading the pack is decentralised AI marketplace SingularityNET (AGIX), which has seen a substantial gain of +193.52% month-on-month as of 25 February. Making up the majority (over US$3.6 billion) of market cap is Bittensor (TAO), an open-source protocol that utilises blockchain technology to create a decentralised machine learning network.

In this current cycle, the intersection of blockchain and AI mainly falls into the categories of decentralised compute, zero-knowledge machine learning (zkML), and decentralised AI Agent. A non-exhaustive list of projects, along with other emerging sub-categories, is mapped out below.

Decentralised Compute

AI models require significant computational resources like graphical processing units (GPUs) to be trained and run inferences. However, the compute space has been characterised by scarce resources and limited competition, with key players like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft holding a firm grip on the market. Scarce compute resources have resulted in rising variable costs associated with training and inferencing AI models — and are estimated to continue increasing over the years. As a result, segments like decentralised compute marketplaces have emerged, connecting providers with those who are looking to lease high-performance compute resources. These marketplaces unlock a significant amount of new GPU supply and computational efforts, enabling anyone in the world to become a resource provider.

AI Agent

The integration of AI agents with blockchain technology enables the automation and optimisation of processes in a decentralised and efficient manner. AI agents are trained autonomous bots that utilise AI models to execute requests on behalf of a user. Within the space of cryptocurrency and blockchain, they play a crucial role in various applications, such as fraud detection, risk management, market analysis, smart contract optimisation, identity verification, bug identification in code, and many more.

zkML

ZkML is a field that combines machine learning, advanced cryptography, and decentralisation. In an era where AI-generated content increasingly resembles content created by humans, the potential use of zero-knowledge cryptography has emerged as a way to determine the origin of specific content. By applying a particular model to a given input and creating a zero-knowledge circuit representation, outputs of large language models like GPT4 or text-to-image models like DALL-E 2 can be verified. The advantage of zero-knowledge proofs is that they allow for parts of the input or the model to be hidden, if necessary.

For instance, in sensitive data scenarios, a machine learning model can be applied to data without revealing the input to any third party. This approach, known as zkML — a field that combines machine learning, advanced cryptography, and decentralisation — focuses on creating zero-knowledge proofs specifically for the inference step of the machine learning model, rather than the model training process.

At the forefront of this is zkML-focused startup Modulus Labs, which develops zkML solutions that enable trustful integration of AI outputs into blockchain systems without revealing sensitive data or model details. It is currently building on several use cases, including Rocky Bot app (on-chain verifiable ML trading bot), Lyra Finance (enhancing its AMM with intelligent features), and Astraly (transparent AI-based reputation system). By building a ZK coprocessor for Ethereum, Axiom enables reliable machine learning computation for on-chain data, improving user access to blockchain data and providing more sophisticated views of on-chain data in the process.

Conclusion

We can expect more integration between AI and crypto, as new AI technologies emerge and the industry itself continues to scale. We are already starting to see the potential of this integration within the cryptocurrency space, from enhanced user experience, improved developer tools and environment, innovations in smart contract functionalities, and automation, amongst others. Looking ahead, as emergent solutions build the current narrative of the market, new challenges can influence its direction in the long run.

In terms of verticals, supply constraints will continue to drive the decentralised compute market forward, in parallel with the advancements of AI technologies. The permissionless and trustless foundation that cryptocurrency provides will allow for more experimentation in the AI agent and agent provider space. Finally, for zkML, it is still in its early stages, and developments are focused on building the infrastructure and tooling to integrate the solution.


Authors

Crypto.com Research and Insights Team


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AI Tokens

Exploring the AI token market through the lens of emergent decentralised AI solutions of today.

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