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📉Strategy’s NAV premium (or discount) fell below 1; Crypto.com users participating in Level Up can receive a Truth+ subscription rebate

Strategy’s NAV premium (or discount) fell below 1; Crypto.com users participating in Level Up can receive a Truth+ subscription rebate; Crypto.com partnered with IP Strategy and Sui Foundation

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Quick Take

  • Strategy’s NAV premium (or discount) fell below 1; Crypto.com users participating in Level Up can receive a Truth+ subscription rebate; Crypto.com partnered with IP Strategy and Sui Foundation.
  • US spot BTC ETFs had a net outflow of US$1.1 billion, lower than the net outflow of $1.2 billion the week before. Spot ETH ETFs saw a net outflow of $728 million in the same period, higher than the net outflow of $508 million the week before. Spot SOL ETFs saw a net inflow of $46.4 million in the same period, lower than the $136.6 million the week before.
  • On the macro side, President Donald Trump signed a bill to end the longest US government shutdown in US history. The latest CME FedWatch Tool indicated a 44% probability of a rate cut in December, down from 67% the week prior as investors await unreleased economic data from the government shutdown. China retail sales rose 2.9% year-on-year in October, marking the slowest increase since August 2024.
  • Notable updates: Canary Capital's XRP ETF (XRPC) began trading last Thursday; Circle unveiled Circle StableFX; Aave Labs received approval under Europe’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation to offer regulated stablecoin ramps across the European Economic Area (EEA).
  • Notable events in the coming week: US FOMC Minutes, EU HCOB Composite PMI.

Research Dashboard

According to our research dashboard, price, volume, and volatility indices were down by -9.57%, -7.31%, and -21.97%, respectively, last week. BTC decreased by -9.8%, dropping below $95,000 for the first time since May, while ETH decreased by -13.3%. 

Despite the resumption of US government operations after President Trump signed a bill ending the shutdown last Wednesday, crypto sentiment remained subdued as US spot BTC and ETH ETFs continued to see net outflows, and the probability of a rate cut in December fell below 50%.

All tokens in the index decreased in price, led by FIL (-29.20%) and NEAR (-24.43%),  in line with the broader risk-off sentiment, reversing their gains from last week.

Additionally, 208 public companies have collectively acquired over 1 million BTC (around $101 billion), accounting for more than 5% of BTC’s total supply.


Chart of the Week

Strategy’s (MSTR) NAV premium (or discount), which measures the ratio of the company’s market capitalisation divided by the value of the crypto assets they hold, fell below 1 for the first time since January 2024.

This coincided with news that Strategy moved 58,915 BTC (around $5.8 billion) into new wallets, sparking fears of potential sales. However, co-founder Michael Saylor subsequently denied any sale of BTC. The recent correction in market valuation was also in line with the recent drop in crypto markets, reflecting previously inflated valuations and macro economic concerns. 


Weekly Performance

All top-cap tokens decreased in prices last week. BTC and ETH decreased by -9.8% and -13.3%, respectively. Despite US President Trump ending the government shutdown, both US spot BTC and ETH ETFs continued to see net outflows last week, while the probability of a December Fed rate cut dropped below 50%. FIL and NEAR led the declines. 

All key categories decreased in market capitalisation over the past seven days. Artificial Intelligence and NFT led the declines.



News Highlights

Company News

Adoption

  • Alibaba is planning to use tokenised deposits backed by fiat currencies, including USD and EUR, for international transactions. The technology will be developed with JPMorgan, and aims to eliminate intermediaries using a blockchain-based system.
  • BNY Mellon launched a money market fund to hold cash reserves for US stablecoin issuers. It is designed to align with the GENIUS Act, and will invest primarily in short-term US Treasury securities, overnight repos, and cash.
  • Harvard University expanded its US spot BTC ETF holdings, with BlackRock’s IBIT as its largest declared holding. It reported 6,813,612 shares of IBIT in Q3, a 257% increase from the 1,906,000 shares in June.
  • JPMorgan and DBS Bank are collaborating on a cross-border tokenised deposit framework. The initiative will link DBS Token Services and JPMorgan’s Kinexys platform to support interoperability across banks and blockchains.
  • Czech National Bank carried out a crypto purchase of $1 million for the first time to test a digital asset reserve. The reserve will include BTC, a USD-pegged stablecoin, and a tokenised bank deposit.

Regulation

Investment Vehicles

  • Canary Capital's XRP ETF (XRPC) began trading last Thursday, generating $58 million in day-one trading volume — the largest ETF debut of 2025. Additionally, Canary Capital filed for an ETF offering exposure to the memecoin MOG.
  • Grayscale launched options trading for its GSOL ETF, a Solana-focused ETF that gives investors staking benefits.
  • 21Shares launched two crypto index ETFs, 21Shares FTSE Crypto 10 Index ETF (TTOP) and 21Shares FTSE Crypto 10 ex-BTC Index ETF (TXBC), under the Investment Company Act of 1940. Both offer exposure to diversified baskets of major cryptocurrencies.

Recent Research Reports

Prediction Markets: The Rise of Event-Driven Finance

Monthly Market Update (October 2025)

Alpha Navigator: Quest for Alpha [October 2025]

This report discusses the key features and success factors of prediction markets, and how Crypto.com | Predictions is advancing in the industry.

This report provides an overview of October’s market updates, new developments, and our latest market outlook.

Equities and Fixed Income increased in October, Real Assets were mixed, while Crypto decreased.

Interested to know more? Access exclusive reports by signing up as a Private member, joining our Crypto.com Exchange VIP Programme, or collecting a Loaded Lions NFT. The latest crypto market insights are also available via the dashboard.



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